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2025, 11, v.40 71-83
Research on the Spatiotemporal Evolution and Development Obstacles of New Quality Productive forces's Ecological Environment
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DOI: 10.20207/j.cnki.1007-3116.20251120.002
Abstract:

Accelerating the cultivation of new quality productivity is the key to China's current economic transformation and upgrading, and optimizing the ecological environment for the development of new quality productive forces is the prerequisite for accelerating the cultivation of new quality productive forces.Firstly, based on the connotation of the Marxist concept of productive forces, this paper analyzes the ecological environment factors of the development of new quality productive forces from the perspective of innovation value chain.Then, an evaluation index system for the ecological environment of new quality productive forces is constructed from five dimensions: organizational competition, factor input, development output, market environment and policy incentives.Using data from 30 mainland provinces in China from 2013 to 2022 as samples, entropy weight method, spatial Moran index, and obstacle degree model are used for analysis.The results show that the overall ecological environment level of China's new quality productive forces is on the rise, with the eastern region significantly better than the central and western regions, and the northeast region deteriorating year by year; In 2022,Guangdong, Jiangsu, and Zhejiang ranked among the top three, while Qinghai had the fastest development with an average annual growth rate of 4.496%;The eight major economic zones have significant differences, showing a trend of relative convergence and absolute divergence, with the Northwest Economic Zone optimizing the fastest; The south is significantly better than the north, showing a relative and absolute dual trend of development between the north and the south; There is significant spatial agglomeration in the ecological environment of inter provincial new quality productive forces, with spatial agglomeration characteristics transitioning in provinces and cities such as Beijing, Hunan, and Jiangxi.The main obstacles to optimizing the ecological environment of new quality productive forces have shifted from insufficient infrastructure in 2013 to insufficient talent investment in 2022.Talent investment has become the main obstacle to the development of the eastern, central, and western regions, while the administrative environment is the main obstacle to the development of the Northeastern region.There are significant differences in regional and inter provincial obstacles, which need to be overcome according to local conditions.Finally, it is recommended to optimize the ecological environment according to local conditions by optimizing the talent ecology, improving the policy ecology, and enhancing the market ecology, in order to accelerate the formation of new quality productive forces.

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(1)扩散效应区具有“高-高”(HH)集聚特征,在区域内高值与高值相邻,表现出显著的正向关联,空间上呈现扩散效应;过渡效应区具有“低—高”(LH)集聚特征,在区域内发展水平往往较低,但区域周边存在高水平发展区域,整体呈现负相关性,空间上呈现过渡效应;低速增长区具有“低—低”(LL)集聚特征,区域自身与周边区域的发展水平均处于较低位置,区域间呈现正相关性,空间上体现为低水平集聚特征;极化效应区具有“高—低”(HL)集聚特征,区域自身的发展水平远高于周边地区的发展水平,区域间呈现负向关联,空间上体现为极化效应。

(2)篇幅所限,此处未报告八大经济区与南北地区新质生产力生态环境水平测度结果,留存备索。

(3)国家统计局关于八大经济区的统计口径:东北综合经济区、北部沿海经济区、东部沿海经济区、南部沿海经济区、黄河中游经济区、长江中游经济区、大西南经济区、大西北经济区。

(4)南方地区包括安徽省、福建省、广东省、广西壮族自治区、贵州省、海南省、湖北省、湖南省、江苏省、江西省、上海市、四川省、云南省、浙江省、重庆市;北方地区包括北京市、甘肃省、河北省、河南省、黑龙江省、吉林省、辽宁省、内蒙古自治区、宁夏回族自治区、青海省、山东省、山西省、陕西省、天津市、新疆维吾尔自治区。

(5)因篇幅所限,此处未报告省际、八大经济区和南北地区的障碍度结果,如有需要,请向作者索取。

Basic Information:

DOI:10.20207/j.cnki.1007-3116.20251120.002

China Classification Code:F124.5;X22

Citation Information:

[1]XU Hao,FENG Tao.Research on the Spatiotemporal Evolution and Development Obstacles of New Quality Productive forces's Ecological Environment[J].Journal of Statistics and Information,2025,40(11):71-83.DOI:10.20207/j.cnki.1007-3116.20251120.002.

Fund Information:

国家社会科学基金项目“数智赋能西北边境陆路口岸跨境物流高质量发展的机制与路径研究”(23BJY231); 西南大学创新研究2035先导计划项目(SWUPilotPlan025); 重庆市社会科学规划项目“同群行为视角下政府创新补贴绩效评价与提升对策研究”(2021NDYB080)

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