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Guided by the “Dual Carbon” strategy, identifying pathways for the coordinated development of carbon reduction and economic growth-towards the goal of common prosperity-has emerged as a critical challenge in China's modernization process.Using national panel data from 2000 to 2022 and provincial panel data for 30 provinces from 2000 to 2021,this study employs the Tapio decoupling model and the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index(LMDI) decomposition method from the perspective of environmental equity.It systematically assesses the decoupling relationship between carbon emissions and economic growth at both the national and provincial levels, and further explores the key drivers and underlying factors contributing to regional disparities in decoupling status.The findings indicate, firstly, a “weak decoupling” relationship between carbon emissions and economic growth nationwide, characterized by significant regional variations.Specifically, less developed provinces exhibit higher decoupling elasticity, generally experiencing faster growth in carbon emissions compared to economically developed regions.Secondly, factors such as energy structure, energy consumption intensity, per capita GDP,and population size significantly influence carbon decoupling elasticities, with these variables showing distinctly different impacts across various regions.Lastly, from a spatial distribution perspective, there exist notable imbalances in carbon governance efficiency and environmental equity in contemporary China.Less developed regions face dual pressures of “economic development and emission reduction” during the low-carbon transition process, potentially exacerbating regional imbalances and leading to further polarization.This study expands the theoretical analysis of carbon decoupling by integrating perspectives on environmental equity and policy coordination mechanisms, thereby providing theoretical foundations and policy recommendations for formulating region-specific carbon reduction policies and achieving the coordinated advancement of economic development and environmental protection.
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Basic Information:
DOI：10.20207/j.cnki.1007-3116.20250804.001
China Classification Code:F124;X22
Citation Information:
[1]LI Boying.Synergistic Effects of Carbon Mitigation and Economic Growth in China: Measurement and Regional Disparities[J].Journal of Statistics and Information,2025,40(08):14-25.DOI:10.20207/j.cnki.1007-3116.20250804.001.
Fund Information:
国家自然科学基金青年项目“基于碳排放时空关联性的我国各省区碳减排及其影响机制研究”(42301341); 中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助；同济大学中国特色社会主义理论研究中心资金资助